Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.033568 0.036613 0.039676 0.042981 0.046440 0.049949 0.053770
2025-12-28 0.027894 0.032355 0.036993 0.042152 0.047707 0.053485 0.059930
2026-01-04 0.024225 0.029712 0.035590 0.042297 0.049687 0.057531 0.066439
2026-01-11 0.021643 0.027930 0.034844 0.042910 0.051967 0.061739 0.072997
2026-01-18 0.019488 0.026387 0.034161 0.043411 0.053973 0.065528 0.078998
2026-01-25 0.016511 0.023626 0.031868 0.041889 0.053534 0.066458 0.081708
2026-02-01 0.014525 0.021874 0.030601 0.041413 0.054169 0.068496 0.085571
2026-02-08 0.012957 0.020502 0.029675 0.041240 0.055070 0.070767 0.089639
2026-02-15 0.012239 0.020141 0.029927 0.042428 0.057528 0.074802 0.095699
2026-02-22 0.011469 0.019645 0.029960 0.043309 0.059592 0.078356 0.101192
2026-03-01 0.010600 0.018949 0.029688 0.043772 0.061121 0.081262 0.105918
2026-03-08 0.009683 0.018118 0.029191 0.043911 0.062225 0.083642 0.110012
2026-03-15 0.009166 0.017834 0.029410 0.044974 0.064492 0.087454 0.115856
2026-03-22 0.008004 0.016536 0.028231 0.044216 0.064497 0.088558 0.118512
2026-03-29 0.007286 0.015839 0.027816 0.044407 0.065652 0.091022 0.122767
2026-04-05 0.006785 0.015432 0.027771 0.045055 0.067362 0.094145 0.127797
2026-04-12 0.006287 0.014989 0.027646 0.045579 0.068901 0.097053 0.132569
2026-04-19 0.005213 0.013514 0.025993 0.044017 0.067752 0.096655 0.133356
2026-04-26 0.004548 0.012652 0.025171 0.043529 0.067941 0.097869 0.136060
2026-05-03 0.004025 0.011985 0.024599 0.043351 0.068509 0.099533 0.139296
2026-05-10 0.003884 0.012002 0.025044 0.044574 0.070893 0.103449 0.145267
2026-05-17 0.003679 0.011880 0.025267 0.045481 0.072863 0.106851 0.150618
2026-05-24 0.003392 0.011574 0.025191 0.045957 0.074262 0.109538 0.155097